Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.034811 1.170215 1.317775 1.490701 1.688029 1.906452 2.166919
2026-02-08 0.801806 0.980313 1.191522 1.460624 1.795487 2.199902 2.727524
2026-02-15 0.687540 0.886755 1.136183 1.472981 1.918298 2.490270 3.285961
2026-02-22 0.600891 0.808988 1.081686 1.467670 2.003946 2.728516 3.791549
2026-03-01 0.530275 0.740480 1.026866 1.448956 2.061020 2.925139 4.253203
2026-03-08 0.464154 0.669057 0.957840 1.398808 2.062761 3.037266 4.598160
2026-03-15 0.422089 0.626492 0.923731 1.392778 2.124210 3.237511 5.091424
2026-03-22 0.404233 0.617086 0.936074 1.455685 2.294001 3.615995 5.902866
2026-03-29 0.372887 0.583635 0.908059 1.451750 2.356120 3.828553 6.465037
2026-04-05 0.351073 0.562753 0.897079 1.472849 2.459167 4.115359 7.181858
2026-04-12 0.323523 0.529952 0.863687 1.452934 2.489916 4.281317 7.702336
2026-04-19 0.298945 0.499799 0.831760 1.431868 2.515364 4.438457 8.221301
2026-04-26 0.271973 0.465407 0.793248 1.402128 2.534271 4.607335 8.827240
2026-05-03 0.247580 0.433637 0.757025 1.374165 2.556228 4.790121 9.498624
2026-05-10 0.232090 0.415934 0.743527 1.385739 2.652656 5.123539 10.516665
2026-05-17 0.215965 0.395417 0.722714 1.380763 2.715513 5.397402 11.448514
2026-05-24 0.199926 0.373482 0.697032 1.363228 2.750504 5.617866 12.295286
2026-05-31 0.181981 0.346256 0.658696 1.316233 2.719008 5.695065 12.831691
2026-06-07 0.170600 0.330733 0.641584 1.310581 2.773708 5.962380 13.844097
2026-06-14 0.167154 0.330579 0.654813 1.369532 2.974910 6.576378 15.775007
2026-06-21 0.157539 0.317049 0.639629 1.365846 3.035886 6.879662 16.987272
2026-06-28 0.150954 0.309183 0.635401 1.385616 3.152485 7.326450 18.633395
2026-07-05 0.141427 0.294300 0.615017 1.366955 3.176681 7.554591 19.740791